Help shape the future of Education
We work to shape an education system that delivers equitable and excellent outcomes
Our organisation is made up of talented and committed people around Aotearoa, from a wide range of backgrounds and cultures. While we work in different groups and on different things, we all strive every day to make the biggest difference we can for our students in our education system.
About this role | Mō tēnei tūranga
This is a permanent, full-time position.
As an Analyst, Forecasting and Modelling, you will contribute to high-quality analysis, modelling and forecasting that supports understanding of early learning and schooling expenditure. You’ll work with complex datasets and use established analytical approaches to help update and maintain forecasting models and reporting outputs.
The role involves building your understanding of the key drivers of education expenditure (including demographic, economic and policy-related factors) and helping translate these drivers into clear and meaningful forecasts. You will support the team to explain forecast movements and assumptions in a way that is accessible to a range of audiences.
You’ll work with colleagues across the Ministry (and, where relevant, other agencies) to support data sharing and improve the quality and consistency of insights. You will also contribute to continuous improvement by helping enhance forecasting processes, tools, documentation and quality assurance practices, with guidance and support from senior team members. This is an opportunity to develop your modelling and forecasting capability within a supportive and technically strong team.
Salary range: $74,815 - $90,347 per annum + 3% KiwiSaver. The successful candidate will be appointed at a salary which reflects individual skills and experience.
For more details about the role, you can view theJob Description here.
About you | Mōhou ake
We’re looking for someone with strong technical skills who can work collaboratively and communicate findings clearly. To be successful in this role, you’ll enjoy working with complex data, applying analytical techniques, and producing robust, well‑explained outputs.
You will also offer:
- Experience in financial or statistical modelling and forecasting, ideally in a complex environment
- Strong analytical skills, including the ability to interpret results and explain key drivers
- Experience working with large datasets using tools such as R, SQL, or SAS
- Clear communication skills, including the ability to explain technical concepts in plain language
- A collaborative approach and the ability to build effective working relationships
- A relevant tertiary qualification in a quantitative discipline (e.g., economics, statistics, mathematics, or data science)
- The ability and willingness to adhere to the Public Service Standards of Integrity and Conduct.
In return, you’ll have the opportunity to work on high-impact, high-profile work where your analysis directly informs funding, policy, and investment decisions. You’ll be part of a supportive, technically strong team that values learning, collaboration, and the delivery of insights that make a real difference.
About our group and team | Mātau rōpū ake
The Forecasting and Modelling team sits within the Ministry of Education’s Data and Insights group. We are responsible for major forecasts across the education system - including those related to early learning, teacher salaries, school operational funding, and education workforce planning.
Our work supports strategic planning, operational delivery, and Budget decisions. In addition to our core forecasting responsibilities, we provide analysis across the Ministry and support teams with their modelling and analytical work, helping to ensure decisions are informed by strong evidence and insight.
We’re focused on continuous improvement: enhancing forecasting tools, strengthening quality assurance, and finding innovative ways to use data to support better outcomes for learners across Aotearoa.
Are you ready to make a difference? | Kua rite koe mō tēnei mahi?
If this opportunity interests you, please submit your cover letter and resume by using the ‘apply' button. In your cover letter we’d like to know about you, your values, or anything else you’d like to share. We’re keen to understand your motivations, strengths, transferable skills, and the diverse perspectives you will bring to the role.
For further information, please contact Sam Snell, Manager at sam.snell@education.govt.nz.
Applications close Midnight – Sunday, 1 March 2026.
We want our people to feel valued for their unique qualities and have a sense of belonging. If you require assistance or adjustments to fully participate in the recruitment process, please let us know.
